Author:
By Jan Strupczewski, Annika Breidthardt and Stefanos Evripidou
EUROZONE finance ministers yesterday backed a €10 billion bailout for Cyprus, after commending the Cypriot authorities for their “demonstrated resolve” and the “efforts” of Cypriot citizens the last few weeks.
The ministerial support now opens the way for several eurozone countries, including Germany and Finland to seek approval for the three-year bailout in national parliaments, so that loan agreement with Nicosia can be signed by April 24.
The first tranche of the loan - €9 billion of which will come from the euro zone and €1 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF)- will flow to Nicosia in mid-May, following the conclusion of the independent anti-money laundering audit by Moneyval and Deloitte.
The €10bn eurozone loan will have an average maturity of 15 years and maximum maturity of 20 years.
According to a statement issued by the group of eurozone finance ministers in Dublin, the Eurogroup expressed satisfaction with the Cypriot authorities for implementing “decisive bank resolution, restructuring and recapitalisation measures to address the fragile and unique situation of Cyprus' financial sector”.
It commended the authorities “for their demonstrated resolve in implementing these important measures in a tight timeframe and reiterates its appreciation for the efforts made by the Cypriot citizens over the last weeks”.
The Eurogroup said the “necessary elements” were now in place to launch the relevant national procedures for the formal approval of the €10bn loan subject to the IMF’s contribution.
The IMF’s board is expected to consider its €1bn contribution to the international bailout in early May.
Meanwhile, an agreement on the restructuring of the €2.5bn loan granted to Cyprus by the Russian Federation remains pending.
Cyprus, meanwhile, is expected to come up with €13.5 billion of its own money to cover its financing needs over the next three years, which include paying for banks’ recapitalisation needs from an estimated €10bn in November 2012 to €13.5bn), government debt (€5bn) and public finances (increased from €2.5bn to €5bn in the last five months).
Government spokesman Christos Stylianides yesterday argued that the delay in signing a memorandum agreement by the previous government resulted in a rapidly deteriorating banking and fiscal environment which in turn has had a massive impact on forecasts regarding government finances and bank recapitalisation needs.
The amount that Cyprus would need to contribute on its own to the rescue package had been estimated a month ago at around €7.5bn. It now stands at €13.5bn.
Given the massive blow to the economy, which currently remains in the freezer, and the huge applications for deposit outflows pending at the banks in recent weeks, both the public deficit and banks’ recapitalisation needs had to be revised upwards.
The original sum of €7.5bn and later €13.5bn that Cyprus has to come up are not directly comparable, EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn told a news conference yesterday.
“People have been comparing apples with pears and coming up with oranges,” Rehn said, adding, “they are ... not strictly comparable because the construction of the first and second, or final package are different”.
The €17.5bn is related to net financing needs, while the larger figure of €23.5 is a gross financing concept, he said. The larger number also includes additional buffers to allow for weaker fiscal developments and additional costs in banks, added Rehn.
Stylianides argued that the government would be able to come up with the extra cash without further haircuts or measures than those already included in the memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the troika.
The bulk of the €13.5bn will come from the closure of Laiki bank and the restructuring of the Bank of Cyprus (estimated to bring in €10.6bn).
The government hopes to raise €1.4bn through privatisations, €1bn by rolling over debt and €0.1bn through the restructuring of the Russian €2.5bn loan.
A further €0.6bn is expected to be raised through austerity and tax revenue measures included in the MoU, and €0.4bn by selling most of the gold reserves at the Central Bank. The extra amount will be used as a buffer, said the government spokesman.
Cyprus will also raise taxes, cut spending and implement structural reforms to improve its public finances and to be able to eventually repay its debt, that is to fall to 104 percent of GDP in 2020 from a peak of above 126 percent in 2015.
International lenders now forecast the Cypriot economy will contract almost 9 per cent this year and almost 4 per cent next year before returning to weak growth in 2015 and 2016.
Central Bank of Cyprus (CBC) Governor Panicos Demetriades was yesterday quoted by Bloomberg accusing the government of preparing for the sale of gold without consulting first with the supervisory authority which is the competent body to deal with such matters.
European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi yesterday gave his view on what constitutes respect for the independence of the CBC: “What is important however is that what is being transferred to the budget, to the government budget... Out of the profits made out of the sales of gold should cover first and foremost any potential loss that the central bank might have from its ELA (emergency liquidity assistance).
“To me that is the evidence that the independence of the Central Bank is being respected,” said Draghi.
Demetriades has recently confirmed that the CBC withdrew over €9bn from the ECB’s ELA to keep Laiki afloat until after the presidential elections in February.
International lenders insisted in the bailout negotiations with the government that the Bank of Cyprus be lumped with the massive ELA debt owed to the ECB.
President Nicos Anastasiades yesterday said he appealed to European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso and European Council President Herman Van Rompuy to do more to help revive growth in Cyprus, possibly through the use of the EU’s structural funds.
Such funds are paid out from the EU’s long-term budget- for which European Parliament approval is pending- to all of its underdeveloped regions to co-finance projects with national authorities that help them expand and bring their wealth to the EU average.
Rehn said the European Commission would try to help the island's economy grow again with better use of EU structural funds: “We stand by the Cypriot people and we are committed to providing support and technical assistance to help Cyprus to get through the tough times and overcome the current difficulties.
“We will try to reallocate structural funds so that we can use them as effectively as possible to support the kind of economic activities in Cyprus that will help the country to return to recovery ... for growing and investment and employment,” Rehn said.
The flow of such funds is spread over the seven years of the EU budget, but can be accelerated to increase the amount of money in the earlier years at the cost of the outer ones -- this method has been employed to help Greece already.
Finance Minister Harris Georgiades, following his first Eurogroup meeting, welcomed the political endorsement of the MoU as a “significant development for Cyprus”.
He noted that the Eurogroup’s approval of the MoU without any further amendments “constitutes a powerful signal for stabilisation, while at the same time being an acknowledgment of the efforts of Cyprus and its people”.
Georgiades expressed satisfaction with the European Commission's intention to provide technical and financial assistance to help Cyprus hasten its path towards recovery and growth.
Meanwhile, Moody`s Investors Service yesterday downgraded the deposit rating of the Bank of Cyprus to Ca with a negative outlook from Caa3 while downgraded the bank’s unsecured debt to C from Caa3.
The ratings agency also confirmed its deposit rating for Hellenic Bank at Caa3 with a negative outlook.
Finance Minister Harris Georgiades (centre) with Eurogroup President, the Dutch Finance Minister, Jeroen Dijsselbloem on his left